Race to net-zero: what the world will look like after the decarbonization of 2050

    30 Dec 2021

    There is a huge race in the world, in which most countries participate. The race is called “Race to Zero”.

     Is it possible to achieve zero emissions? The world is optimistic.

     About 140 countries have committed to zero emissions in the coming decades. Ukraine is the last in the list of these countries, but there is. And it’s inspiring. They will invest in clean energy, electric cars, low-carbon mobility, infrastructure.

     Here are some of the following legally binding obligations:

    •       The United States has provided $ 1.2 trillion for the clean energy revolution.
    •       Japan has allocated $870 billion to achieve net-zero carbon emissions
    •       UAE – $163 billion for clean and renewable energy
    •       Saudi Arabia – $180 billion
    •       Canada – $508 billion.

    3 trillion dollars means about three million times a million dollars.

    What the world should look like based on the results of the plan? In short, by 2050:

    •       More than 90% of the world’s electricity must be generated from renewable energy sources, of which more than 70% – from wind and solar.
    •       More than 90% of heavy industry should not emit greenhouse gases in total.
    •       More than 85% of buildings and structures need to be prepared for carbon neutrality in terms of infrastructure equipment and energy efficiency.
    •       A significant proportion of CO2 must be stored or disposed of – storage will be described below.

     The share of hydrogen production should be significant.

    And here’s what it takes. From 2021:

    •       Stop the development of new sources of coal, gas and oil.
    •       Increase the annual introduction of new RES facilities – renewable energy sources.
    •       Develop CO2 capture, transportation and storage systems.

    Starting in 2030:

    •       All new buildings and structures must be energy efficient and independent of fossil fuels.
    •       Increase the universal availability of electricity.
    •       Reduce the share of coal generating facilities.
    •       Bring global sales of electric vehicles to 60%.
    •       New clean technologies in heavy industry need to be scalable.
    •       Develop the production of green hydrogen by electrolysis.

    Starting in 2035:

    •  Stop selling cars with internal combustion engines.
    •  Increase sales of electric heavy trucks to 50%.
    •  Ensure maximum energy efficiency class for all industrial electric motors.
    •  Ensure maximum energy efficiency class of all cooling systems sold.

    Starting in 2040:

    •  Achieve zero emissions from electricity generation.
    •  Bring oil consumption to 50% of 2020.
    •  Achieve 50% of the volume of carbon-neutral fuel in aviation.

    The following content is sponsored by the National Public Utilities Council (High-resolution version).

    Race to Net Zero: Carbon Neutral Goals by Country

    The time to talk about net zero goals is running out, and the time to put them into action is well underway.

    At the U.S. Climate Summit in April 2021, U.S. President Biden pressured countries to either speed up carbon neutral pledges, or commit to them in the first place.

    It’s a follow-up to the Paris Agreement, which keeps signatories committed to reaching carbon neutrality in emissions in the second half of the 21st century. But 2050–2100 is a wide timeframe, and climate change is becoming both increasingly present and more dire.

    So when are countries committed to reaching net zero carbon emissions, and how serious is their pledge? This infographic from the National Public Utilities Council highlights the world’s carbon neutral pledges.

    The National Public Utilities Council is the go-to resource for all things decarbonization.

    The Timeline of Carbon Neutral Targets by Country

    The first question is how quickly countries are trying to get to net zero.

    137 countries have committed to carbon neutrality, as tracked by the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit and confirmed by pledges to the Carbon Neutrality Coalition and recent policy statements by governments.

    But the earlier the pledge, the better, and most of the commitments are centered around 2050.

    As far as early achievers go, Bhutan and Suriname are the only two countries that have achieved carbon neutrality and are actually carbon negative (removing more carbon than they emit). Uruguay’s 2030 target is the earliest to try and match that feat, followed by Europe’s Finland, Austria, Iceland, Germany, and Sweden, who are all targeting 2045 or earlier.

    Over 90%, or 124 of the 137 countries tracked above, set a target of 2050 for reaching carbon neutrality. This is largely due to membership in the Carbon Neutrality Coalition, which asks member states to target 2050 for their goal but leaves commitment up to them.

    Only five countries have net zero pledges set for after 2050, including Australia and Singapore, which haven’t set a firm target yet. Targeting 2060, in addition to Ukraine and Kazakhstan, is the world’s largest emitter, China. The country’s recent pledge is significant, since China accounts for an estimated 25% of global emissions.

    In fact, according to the Climate Action Tracker, 73% of global emissions are currently covered by net zero targets.

    How Seriously Are Countries Committing to Carbon Neutrality?

    Setting a goal is perhaps the easiest step towards carbon neutrality. But the real challenge is in solidifying that goal and starting to make progress towards it. That’s why it’s important to consider how deeply committed each country’s carbon neutral pledge truly is.The most rigid commitments are enshrined in law, followed by official government policy, though the latter can change alongside governments. Likewise, proposed legislation shows forward momentum in making pledges a reality, but proposals can take a long time to become enacted (or get derailed).

    As it turns out, the vast majority of carbon neutral targets are only under discussion, with no formal action being taken to act on them.

    Uruguay’s 2030 target might be the earliest, but it is not yet set in stone. The earliest commitment actually enshrined in law is Sweden’s 2045 target.

    Including Sweden, only six countries have passed their carbon neutral targets into law. They include Denmark, France, Hungary, New Zealand, and the UK.

    An additional five countries have proposed legislation in the works, including Canada and South Korea, as well as the entirety of the EU.

    Meanwhile, 24 countries have their climate targets set as official policy. They include Brazil, China, Germany and the U.S., some of the world’s largest emitters.

    99 of the 137 pledges are only under discussion at this time, or more than 72%. That means that they have no official standing as of yet, and are harder to act on. But as time starts to pass, pressure on countries to act on their carbon neutral pledges is beginning to grow.

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    In the 21st century, we must embody a new “green” industrial revolution that must be bigger than the previous two in the 19th and 20th centuries. The UN climate talks in Glasgow are launching a new industrial revolution, says an energy expert in his article here.

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